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EMIRA PROPERTY FUND LIMITED - PRE-CLOSE OPERATIONAL UPDATE

Release Date: 26/11/2020 09:51
Wrap Text
PRE-CLOSE OPERATIONAL UPDATE

EMIRA PROPERTY FUND LIMITED
Incorporated in the Republic of South Africa
(Registration number 2014/130842/06)
JSE share code: EMI      ISIN: ZAE000203063
JSE Interest Rate Issuer Code: EMII
(Approved as a REIT by the JSE)
(“Emira”, “the Company” or “the Fund”)



PRE-CLOSE OPERATIONAL UPDATE

The Company wishes to provide an update to investors regarding the operational performance of its investments for
the first quarter of FY21.

As anticipated, global economies continue to be constrained by the impact of COVID-19 and the related lockdowns.
The diversified nature of Emira’s investments, both on a sectoral basis and geographically, including its offshore
exposure and its co-investment methodology, has proved defensive given that some sectors and regions have been
harder hit than others.

Emira remains focussed on the strength of its balance sheet, maintaining occupancy levels and collecting rentals,
ensuring that it comes through these trying times in the best possible position.

Direct local portfolio (78% of investments)

The effects of the pandemic and the different levels of lockdown continue to have a negative impact on the local
economy, business confidence and household spending. The full impact on tenants is still uncertain and the
environment remains challenging for them. This continues to weigh heavily on the property sector and all key
property metrics are under pressure.

Post 30 June 2020 and in line with expectations, Emira has granted a further R15,3 million of rental concessions
through to its tenants (R12,1 million to the end of September 2020). These have all been in the form of permanent
rental remissions, granted on a case-by-case basis to those tenants whose operations were particularly hard hit by
the lockdown restrictions and where the Company is satisfied with the longevity of the underlying business.

Occupancy in the portfolio has remained high with vacancies increasing slightly to 4,5% at the end of September
2020 (June 2020: 4,1%). Vacancies are anticipated to trend upwards over the balance of FY21.

For the first quarter of FY21, 52 378m2 of space came up for expiry, of which 43 473m2 was re-let, an overall renewal
success rate of 83,0%. A further 30 853 m2 of future expiries have been early renewed in the first quarter of FY21,
with the South African Local Government Association at Menlyn Corporate Park in Pretoria (7 025m2) being the
largest.

As anticipated, retaining tenants and attracting new ones has come at a cost with the weighted average total
reversions for the first quarter at an overall -10,9%, a decline from level reported at 30 June 2020 of -5,1%. While
reversions declined across all sectors, the retail sector was the highest, driven by the restructuring of Emira’s five
Edcon leases.

The Fund’s weighted average lease expiry reduced slightly from 2,7 years at 30 June 2020 to 2,5 years at 30
September 2020. The average lease period achieved for the first quarter’s lettings was 2,7 years.

Emira’s average annual lease escalations remained at 7,3% at the end of the first quarter, however these remain
under pressure and are expected to reduce. The average annual escalations achieved on the first quarter’s renewals
were 7,2%.

While monthly collections have improved post 30 June 2020, many tenants’ businesses continue to be impacted by
the pressures of COVID-19. Outstanding debtors have increased to R79,4 million at 30 September 2020 (June 2020:
R63,7million (excluding the accrual of deferred rentals not billed)). This position has improved to R73,5 million
outstanding at the end of October 2020. While it is still early days, it is pleasing to see that 77,7% of the deferred
rentals billed in the first quarter have been collected, increasing to 80,1% at the end of October 2020. The collection
of rentals remains a key focus area.

Emira’s experience on the individual sectors is as follows:

            Offices:

            The office sector still sees a large number of tenants, specifically larger corporates, adopting a more flexible
            work model, which entails working from the office as well as working from home. Most tenants are still
            following a “wait and see” approach until such time as they understand the effect on their businesses and
            their future workplace requirements.

            Retail

            Although footfall numbers are improving, many shoppers are still cautious on visiting shopping centres, and
            this has changed consumers’ buying behaviour. The change in consumer behaviour has affected retail sales,
            and retailers continue to adjust their business models, improving online shopping and delivery offerings
            though improved capabilities and technology.

            Industrial

            Industrial tenants, although somewhat more resilient, are also feeling the effect of the pandemic, specifically
            the impact on the economy and the negative GDP growth. Tenants are trying to understand how their
            businesses should operate in future to remain sustainable.


                                                                                                                                            Total as at 30
                                                                     Urban Retail        Office    Industrial   Residential         Total      June 2020
 Vacancy                                                                    4.1%          7.5%         3.5%           6.0%          4.5%             4.1%

 Tenant Retention
 % of gross rental                                                         80.8%         91.4%        76.9%               -        83.2%           80.0%
 % of GLA                                                                  82.9%         89.7%        79.5%               -        83.0%           78.2%
 % of number of leases                                                     76.8%         72.7%        66.7%               -        74.5%           69.5%

 Rent reversions-total (gross rentals)                                    -16.1%          -1.7%        -6.8%              -       -10.9%            -5.1%

 Weighted average lease expiry                                          3.2 years     2.2 years    2.2 years              -     2.5 years       2.7 years

 Contractual escalations                                                    7.0%          7.6%         7.3%               -         7.3%            7.3%

 Total Arrears                                                        26 192 522     42 725 514   10 472 011        93 866     79 483 913     63 668 845
 Arrears                                                              25 442 450     41 881 459   10 457 233        93 866     77 875 008     63 668 845
 Deferrals not yet recovered                                             750 072        844 055       14 777             -      1 608 904              -

 Collections: April 2020 - June 2020                                 136 042 084     86 747 494   53 995 688     6 751 964    283 537 230
 Billings net of discounts: April 2020 - June 2020                   157 078 483    119 864 395   73 504 212     6 889 796    357 336 886
 Collections: April 2020 - June 2020*                                     86.6%           72.4%        73.5%        98.0%          79.3%

 Collections - total: July 2020 - September 2020                     168 720 265    111 646 022   82 361 946     6 210 925    368 939 158
 Collections - normal: July 2020 - September 2020                    166 811 720    110 807 086   79 495 668     6 210 925    363 325 398
 Collections - deferrals: July 2020 - September 2020                   1 908 545        838 936    2 866 278             -      5 613 760
 Billings net of discounts - total: July 2020 - September 2020       191 640 642    131 318 664   89 247 593     6 356 976    418 563 875
 Billings net of discounts - normal: July 2020 - September 2020      188 982 025    129 635 673   86 366 537     6 356 976    411 341 211
 Billings net of discounts - deferrals: July 2020 - September 2020     2 658 617      1 682 991    2 881 056             -      7 222 664
 Collections - total: July 2020 - September 2020                          88.0%           85.0%        92.3%        97.7%          88.1%
 Collections - normal: July 2020 - September 2020                         88.3%           85.5%        92.0%        97.7%          88.3%
 Collections - deferrals: July 2020 - September 2020                      71.8%           49.8%        99.5%             -         77.7%

 Collections: September 2020 month only                               57 035 321     36 341 858   28 151 308     2 181 898    123 710 385
 Billings net of discounts: September 2020 month only                 65 542 486     43 177 730   30 389 755     2 220 877    141 330 848
 Collections: September 2020 month only                                    87.0%          84.2%        92.6%        98.2%          87.5%

 COVID-19 Rental discounts granted: 1 July 2020 - 30 September
 2020                                                                 10 267 129      1 536 288     339 033               -    12 142 450     69 923 405
 COVID-19 Rental deferrals granted: 1 July 2020 - 30 September
 2020                                                                           -             -             -             -             -     48 682 648

 *Collection rates restated based on a change to the calculation
 methodology
Enyuka (5% of investments)

The Enyuka portfolio, comprising 24 lower LSM retail properties, continues to perform in line with expectations,
demonstrating the resilience of this retail sector in a challenging environment. While vacancies have increased to
5,2% as at 30 September 2020 (June 2020: 4,6%), lease terms are being finalised for most of those first quarter
expiries not retained.

Transcend (5% of investments)

The investment into Transcend continues to weather the current economic conditions, demonstrating the defensive
nature of value-orientated quality residential assets managed by a seasoned and well qualified team.

USA (12% of investments)

The US portfolio, comprising of 10 equity investments into grocery anchored, value orientated, open air power
centres continues to perform in line with expectations. Vacancies edged slightly higher, ending the quarter at 5.6%
of the total portfolio. In the short term, vacancies are expected to rise due to the bankruptcies and non-renewals of
certain tenants, before stabilising (at around 8.5 – 9%) in early 2021. However, interest and demand for space at the
centres remains high, and the vacancy rate is expected to reduce in the 2nd half of 2021. Interventions by our on the
ground co-investment partners and additional leasing activities are progressing well, with new leasing and renewals
concluded in these three months seeing slight upward reversions on average. The majority of assets in the portfolio
have, or are expected to, resume paying dividends in the current financial year. Whilst certain COVID-related
concession deals agreed to in the period from April – June 2020 may still apply until early 2021, at this stage, no
further significant COVID-related concessions have been agreed to or are contemplated, with the exception of an
anticipated continuance for AMC Theatres at Woodland Square. Collections on aggregate across the portfolio have
been very much in line with payment terms of existing leases and concession agreements where applicable.

Capital management and liquidity

Emira’s balance sheet remains robust with sufficient cash reserves and unutilised debt facilities to cover the Fund’s
business commitments as they fall due.

The weighted average duration to expiry of Emira’s debt facilities at 30 September 2020 is 1,9 years (June 2020: 2,1
years).

Emira has to date refinanced R441 million and settled R103 million of the R1,7 billion debt maturing in FY21. A new
R200 million 4-year term facility has been put in place increasing the Fund’s undrawn backup facilities and cash-on-
hand to R671 million at the end of November 2020. A further new facility of R250 million is being finalised which will
bolster the Fund’s liquidity even further.

 The average all-in cost of Emira funding at 30 September 2020, including CCIRS, is 7,37% (June 2020: 7,45%) and
interest rates are hedged for 86,4% (June 2020: 83,0%) of Emira’s drawn interest-bearing borrowings for a weighted
average duration of 2,9 years (June 2020: 3,2 years).

There has been no material change to the loan-to-value ratio reported at 30 June 2020 of 43.0% (including derivative
liabilities) and all funding covenants continue to be met.

Outlook

An increase in tenant failures and vacancies is inevitable in the months ahead as the true effects of the restrictive
lockdown continue to unfold. Given the high levels of uncertainty, low investor and consumer confidence and a
contracting economy, Emira’s focus will be to maintain balance sheet strength, retain existing tenants and keep
vacancies at lower than industry levels. The diversified nature of Emira’s assets and sticking with the core
fundamentals that Emira implements in all of its investments will ensure that it comes through these challenging
times in the best possible position.



Bryanston
26 November 2020


Sponsor
Questco Corporate Advisory Proprietary Limited


Debt Sponsor
RAND MERCHANT BANK (a division of FirstRand Bank Limited)

Date: 26-11-2020 09:51:00
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